AST ASIC Proposal on Super Forecasts


On Jul. 5, AST ASIC proposed update to nominal wage inflation rate.


  • AST ASIC proposed to update the rate of nominal wage inflation within ASIC (superannuation calculators and retirement estimates) instrument 2022/603.
  • Plus, in Regulatory guide 276 superannuation forecasts: calculators and retirement estimates (RG 276), in light of AST GVT's revised long-term wage growth forecasts.
  • Follows AST ASIC Nov. 2021 relief for pension forecast calculators, see #121821.
  • Context
  • Instrument 2022/603 exempts providers of superannuation calculators and retirement estimates from certain financial product advice regs if comply with relief conditions.
  • Providers must present super forecasts in today’s dollars and default to converting future dollars using specified inflation rates unless users input different rate.
  • Default inflation rates reflect nominal wage inflation while a user in the accumulation phase (4% p.a.), consumer price inflation while user in retirement phase (2.5% p.a.).
  • These rates respectively align with modelling in the 2021 intergenerational report (IGR), and in the retirement income review, as well as other sources.
  • Proposal
  • AST ASIC proposes lowering the default nominal wage inflation rate from 4% to 3.7% p.a., matching the revised long-term forecast in the 2023 intergenerational report.
  • Adjustment reflects a significant economic change in long-term wage growth forecasts.
  • AST ASIC does not propose changes to other relief parameters, including the default consumer price inflation rate, following consultation and actuarial advice received.
  • It proposes a transition period until Dec. 31, 2024, in order to provide time to adjust.
  • Providers can choose to use existing default nominal wage inflation rate of 4% p.a. or revised rate of 3.7% p.a. when converting future dollars to today’s dollars under relief.
  • Starting from Jan. 1, 2025, the revised default nominal wage inflation rate of 3.7% p.a. will become mandatory for all providers relying on the AST ASIC relief.
  • During the transition period, AST ASIC will update its retirement and superannuation calculators on Moneysmart website to reflect revised nominal wage growth rate.
  • Effectiveness
  • Submissions on proposal must be submitted by 12pm (AEST) on Aug. 2, 2024.
  • Sep. 10, 2024 AST GVT Instrument Registered
  • On Sep. 10, 2024, AST GVT registered the ASIC corporations (amendment) instrument 2024/733 and explanatory notes; instrument issued to give effect to proposals above.
  • Amends 2022/603 to ensure the default rate of inflation used to calculate present values in 2022/603 reflects the current long-term forecast of nominal wage inflation.
  • The amendment instrument commences on Sep. 11, 2024 (day following registration).
  • Sep. 13, 2024 Default Rate Finalized
  • On Sep. 13, 2024, AST ASIC updated default nominal wage inflation rate to 3.7% p.a..
  • All submissions agreed with the rate and one suggested extending transition period.
  • Providers of superannuation calculators and retirement estimates shall update the default inflation rate by Dec. 31, 2024; the revised rate will apply from Jan. 1, 2025.
  • On the same day, AST ASIC updated RG 276 superannuation forecasts accordingly.

Regulators AST ASIC; AST GVT
Entity Types CNSM; Corp; Fiduciary; IA; Pension
Reference Gd, RG 276, PR, 9/13/2024; Info, RF F2024L01117, 9/10/2024; CP, PR, 7/5/2024; Citation: ASIC (superannuation calculators and retirement estimates) instrument 2022/603; ASIC corporations (amendment) instrument 2024/733;
Functions Actuarial and Valuation; Compliance; Financial; Legal; Product Administration; Suitability; Treasury
Countries Australia
Category
State
Products Corporate; Fund Mgt; Pensions; Retirement Plan
Regions AP
Rule Type Final
Rule Date 7/5/2024
Effective Date 1/1/2025
Rule Id 218503
Linked to Rule :121821
Reg. Last Update 9/13/2024
Report Section International

Last substantive update on 09/17/2024